Since Tesla released the second-generation Autopilot system and the “fully-automated driving” function option, the industry began to speculate about the timetable for implementing a fully autonomous driving system, but the details have not been officially announced. Recently, there has finally been an official conclusion about this timetable.

Lei Feng network new wisdom drive news, recently, Tesla CEO Elon Musk said in public speech, Tesla autopilot system will reach Level 5 level after 2 years, and before this Tesla will continue its Advanced Autopilot Service.

According to the understanding of Lei Feng's new intellectual driving, before the Autopilot 2.0 conference, Elon Musk once stated that Autopilot's "fully automatic driving ability" gradually progresses through iterations and will eventually reach the Level 5 automatic driving level. According to the definition of SAE (American Society of Automotive Engineers), Level 5 automatic driving means that the car is completely autonomous in any environment.

Of course, Tesla also pointed out that this function needs to be established on the premise of legal verification of autopilot software system and relevant policy permission. Lei Fengnet’s new driver’s quote from Tesla’s official website is as follows:

"Please note that the application of the automatic driving function needs to be confirmed by a large number of software legalities that differ from one region to another, and is licensed by local laws and regulations. Therefore, whether or not the above functional elements can actually be obtained and used in a certain area remains uncertain. Sex, which will be determined by the laws and regulations in your area, and also note that although you can use a self-driving Tesla vehicle to pick up friends and family, if you use it for profit-making services such as vehicle sharing, car calling, etc. You will need permission from Tesla Network. Details will be announced next year."

Musk released this rhetoric, is based on an important milestone event, that is, Tesla will be conducting an automatic driving demonstration across the United States, the demonstration will not require the driver's intervention.

In a recent TED talk, Musk made it clear that this autopilot demonstration program will be conducted in 2017. "In November or December of this year, Tesla Motors will start from a parking spot in California. It will only use autopilot technology to reach a parking spot in New York without any human intervention," said Musk.

In addition, Musk made a supplementary explanation. He said that although the demonstration will reach the full extent without driver intervention, the driver still needs to stay awake and cannot leave the driving position or sleep safely.

So at what time can the driver sleep safely behind the steering wheel? Musk gave a clear answer, that is, it still takes more than two years.

In other words, this may mean that two years later, in 2019, Tesla's Autopilot 2.0 system will support at least Level 4 (SAE) level autopilot, ie autonomous driving under limited conditions without driver intervention.

According to foreign media inferences, given the different legal regulations of autonomous driving technology in U.S. states, at this time, Tesla’s autopilot system will have different ways of working in different states. In the future, if the states can establish a unified national legal requirement for autonomous driving, Tesla will be able to drive the vehicle autonomously throughout the country, but Tesla must comply with the rules.

In other words, once the autopilot software is ready, Tesla will be able to activate the autopilot function in the area permitted by the regulations through the software. In the United States, for example, Michigan, there is currently a commercial route dedicated to the operation of self-driving cars. However, it is conceivable that the Level 5 automatic driving function as described by Marcus in the “sleeping in the car” is difficult to actually land within two years.

In the TED speech at Musk, he once again reaffirmed Tesla's technical path, which is Tesla's determination to rely on existing on-board sensor hardware to achieve full automatic driving. According to Musk, Tesla's automation technology can be achieved by relying solely on computer vision methods with 8 cameras working together.

“As long as the camera-based computer vision problem is solved, the autonomy of the car will also be solved, and vice versa... We have confirmed that solving the auto-driving problem of the car alone is sufficient for the camera.”

As is known to all, many autopilot research and development companies nowadays use automated algorithms based on visual algorithms, but most of them have chosen a combination of multiple sensors such as LiDAR sensors. The latter, in view of Tesla, It is completely unnecessary.

All in all, according to Musk's speech, Tesla will completely solve the computer vision algorithm problem by the end of 2017, that is, before it crosses the U.S. autonomous driving technology demonstration, and will verify it over the next year or so. The reliability of the system, and then around 2019, provides Level 5 levels of autopilot for all Tesla models.

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